BR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BR - Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
$143.37
-0.56 (-0.39%)
▼
5d:
-6.23%
30d:
-10.86%
90d:
-15.9%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
BR is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $180 2026-06-18 with 84 OI. Call ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 2.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$267.05
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$165.82
13.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BR is currently trading at $143.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $150.48 to $161.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $139.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $206.50 (+44.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $139.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $206.50 (+44.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$150.48 -
$161.14
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.0% below Wall St target ($206.50)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$150.48 -
$161.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$139.79
Resistance Level
$159.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.78
Wall Street Target
$206.50
(+44.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
15.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 18.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$129.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$116.91
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$105.57
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$143.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.1%)
$297.62
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$186.04
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 9.1%)
$158.13
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.36
Bull Case
$176.02
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.2%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$160.02
(+12%)
Market implied 11.2%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$97.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$194.60
(+35.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen
SELL
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Timothy C Gokey
BUY
5300 shares
2026-03-06
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Advanced BR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BR price and gamma walls.
