BR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BR - Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
$143.95
3.02 (2.14%)
▲
5d:
+5.64%
30d:
-7.03%
90d:
-10.02%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$252.77
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$156.95
8.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BR is currently trading at $143.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.40 to $152.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $144.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $206.50 (+43.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $144.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $206.50 (+43.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$140.40 -
$152.89
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.5% below Wall St target ($206.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$140.40 -
$152.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$133.83
Resistance Level
$144.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.83
Wall Street Target
$206.50
(+43.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
15.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.72
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$122.37
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$112.82
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$144.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$294.11
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$186.79
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$158.77
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.34
Bull Case
$172.72
(+20%)
Analyst growth 11.4%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$157.02
(+9%)
Market implied 11.4%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$95.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$184.19
(+28.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen
SELL
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Timothy C Gokey
BUY
5300 shares
2026-03-06
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