CAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAL - Caleres Inc
$10.74
-0.32 (-2.89%)
▼
5d:
-1.56%
30d:
-6.85%
90d:
-11.75%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CAL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CAL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.89
9.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAL is currently trading at $10.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.81 to $11.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.15, while resistance sits at $11.92.
Market Sentiment: CAL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+39.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.15, while resistance sits at $11.92.
Market Sentiment: CAL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+39.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$9.81 -
$11.69
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.7% below Wall St target ($15.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with 8.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.81 -
$11.69
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.21
(11.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.15
Resistance Level
$11.92
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.10
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+39.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.1%
Profit Margin
-0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.08
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$11.44
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$11.80
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.81
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 185.5%)
$105.06
(+878%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 185.5%)
$36.25
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 185.5%)
$30.81
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$23.61
(+105%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$21.46
(+86%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$7.30
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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