ROST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ROST - Ross Stores Inc
$213.43
1.53 (0.72%)
▲
5d:
-0.79%
30d:
-4.64%
90d:
-2.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ROST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ROST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.62
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROST is currently trading at $213.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $218.69 to $236.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.6) is in line with its historical norms (29.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROST is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $222.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.18 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROST is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $222.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.18 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$218.69 -
$236.59
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($256.18)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$218.69 -
$236.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$222.00
Resistance Level
$237.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.61
Wall Street Target
$256.18
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.4%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
29.6 vs 29.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$214.71
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$216.00
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$217.29
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$213.58
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.6, Growth: 10.7%)
$289.71
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$213.12
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.7%)
$181.15
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.15
Bull Case
$235.01
(+10%)
Analyst growth 0.8%, PE expands to 32.6
Base Case
$213.65
(+0%)
Market implied 0.8%, PE stable at 29.6
Bear Case
$144.09
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ROST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Karen Sykes
SELL
5506 shares
2026-03-25
Michael J Hartshorn
SELL
15813 shares
2026-03-25
Karen Sykes
SELL
2556 shares
2026-03-10
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