CPRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CPRT - Copart Inc

RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS
$32.61
0.18 (0.56%) ▲
5d: -2.34%
30d: -14.37%
90d: -17.02%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CPRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.84
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.70
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CPRT is currently trading at $32.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.15 to $37.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CPRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CPRT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.67 (+30.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $33.15 - $37.38
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 30.8% below Wall St target ($42.67)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $33.15 - $37.38
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.20
Resistance Level $34.62
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.41
Wall Street Target $42.67 (+30.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.0%
Profit Margin 33.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.4 vs 22.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.27 (-4%)
2-Year Target $29.99 (-8%)
3-Year Target $28.76 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→22) $32.60 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.6%) $45.53 (+40%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 6.6%) $39.55 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 16.5, Growth: 6.6%) $33.61 (+3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.59
Bull Case $38.20 (+14%)
Analyst growth 5.7%, PE expands to 22.7
Base Case $34.73 (+4%)
Market implied 5.7%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case $22.35 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 22.0
Stabilization Target: $36.96 (+13.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.3%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 7:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-24
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-17
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-01-29

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Advanced CPRT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CPRT price and gamma walls.

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