CR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CR - Crane Company

MISCELLANEOUS FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS
$182.64
3.26 (1.82%) ▲
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LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CR is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$289.62
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.83
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CR is currently trading at $182.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $188.11 to $205.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.5) compared to its historical average (28.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $174.78, while resistance sits at $214.31.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $217.62 (+21.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $188.11 - $205.75
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($217.62)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $188.11 - $205.75
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $174.78
Resistance Level $214.31
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.50
Wall Street Target $217.63 (+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 0.5%
Profit Margin 15.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.5 vs 28.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $167.72 (-7%)
2-Year Target $156.82 (-13%)
3-Year Target $146.63 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→29) $179.10 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.5, Growth: 13.5%) $262.56 (+46%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.5%) $249.20 (+39%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 13.5%) $211.82 (+18%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.67
Bull Case $269.96 (+48%)
Analyst growth 34.6%, PE expands to 35.4
Base Case $245.42 (+34%)
Market implied 34.6%, PE stable at 32.2
Bear Case $123.94 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.5 to 28.7
Stabilization Target: $219.11 (+22.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +22.1%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alejandro Alcala SELL 20791 shares 2025-08-25

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Advanced CR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CR price and gamma walls.

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