CRCT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRCT - Cricut, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NEC
$4.54
0.07 (1.57%) ▲
5d: +3.18%
30d: -8.28%
90d: -12.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026 27d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRCT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRCT is currently trading at $4.54, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.38 to $4.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.0) is in line with its historical norms (27.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 93.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRCT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $3.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $4.38 - $4.93
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 29th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 29th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 22.9% above Wall St target ($3.50)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $4.38 - $4.93
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.42 (9.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.21
Resistance Level $4.61
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.99
Wall Street Target $3.50 (-22.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 93.3%
Profit Margin 11.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 26.0 vs 27.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.47 (-2%)
2-Year Target $4.40 (-3%)
3-Year Target $4.34 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→27) $4.54 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.0, Growth: -49.7%) $3.31 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -49.7%) $2.84 (-37%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -49.7%) $2.41 (-47%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.38
Bull Case $2.46 (-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case $2.24 (-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case $3.04 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.0 to 27.2
Stabilization Target: $4.75 (+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.7%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 11:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Arora Ashish SELL 17204 shares 2025-10-17
Arora Ashish SELL 11211 shares 2025-10-16
Arora Ashish SELL 21250 shares 2025-10-15

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