DELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc.
$394.32
-30.93 (-7.27%)
▼
5d:
-3.7%
30d:
-9.42%
90d:
+132.8%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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2 traders called DELL this week
50% bullish • 1 bearish
50% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DELL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 24.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DELL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 24.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$325.36
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$202.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DELL is currently trading at $394.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $363.37 to $438.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 34.5) compared to its historical average (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 24.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $378.66, while resistance sits at $444.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $485.09 (+23.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $378.66, while resistance sits at $444.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $485.09 (+23.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$363.37 -
$438.38
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.0% below Wall St target ($485.09)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 24.3% growth expectation is conservative given 282% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$363.37 -
$438.38
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$378.66
Resistance Level
$444.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.54
Wall Street Target
$485.09
(+23.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
87.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
282.5%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+24.3% premium
PE vs Historical
34.5 vs 18.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+24.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$490.14
(+24%)
2-Year Target
$609.24
(+55%)
3-Year Target
$757.29
(+92%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$394.65
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.5, Growth: 15.4%)
$605.57
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$381.86
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 15.4%)
$315.58
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 31.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.54
Bull Case
$390.16
(-1%)
Analyst growth -9.0%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$354.69
(-10%)
Market implied -9.0%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$264.93
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 3:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DELL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
382000 shares
2026-04-16
Jeffrey W Clarke
SELL
116000 shares
2026-04-15
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
458666 shares
2026-04-15
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