CSGP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CSGP - CoStar Group Inc

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$33.20
0.52 (1.59%) ▲
5d: +0.85%
30d: -16.41%
90d: -27.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSGP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -18.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.37
38.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CSGP is currently trading at $33.20, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.32 to $38.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.5) compared to its historical average (33.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CSGP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.36, while resistance sits at $35.59.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.32 (+48.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $33.32 - $38.30
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 48.5% below Wall St target ($49.32)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $33.32 - $38.30
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.36
Resistance Level $35.59
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.46
Wall Street Target $49.32 (+48.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 22.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -25.9%
Profit Margin 0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -18.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.5 vs 33.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -18.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $29.88 (-10%)
2-Year Target $26.89 (-19%)
3-Year Target $24.20 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→34) $44.05 (+33%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 32.0%) $91.50 (+176%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 32.0%) $76.43 (+130%)
Bear: (PE: 15.7, Growth: 32.0%) $64.96 (+96%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.62 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.58
Bull Case $39.46 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case $32.68 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case $25.00 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.5 to 33.6
Stabilization Target: $60.43 (+82.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +82.0%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
9
Buys
4
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-03-13

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