CUK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CUK - Carnival PLC
$29.79
-1.15 (-3.72%)
ā¼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: CUK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: CUK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.20
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.96
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CUK is currently trading at $29.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.82 to $31.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CUK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.63, while resistance sits at $31.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.50 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CUK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.63, while resistance sits at $31.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.50 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$28.82 -
$31.49
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.82 -
$31.49
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.63
Resistance Level
$31.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.46
Wall Street Target
$35.50
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.8%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.40
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$31.88
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$32.35
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11ā11)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.77
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.9%)
$77.70
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 8.9%)
$39.93
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 8.9%)
$33.94
(+10%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$41.89
(+35%)
Analyst growth 33.7%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$38.08
(+23%)
Market implied 33.7%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$19.37
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CUK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
12500 shares
2025-08-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CUK price and gamma walls.
