DCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DCI - Donaldson Company, Inc.
$101.94
-1.38 (-1.34%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DCI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: DCI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.14
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DCI is currently trading at $101.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.31 to $101.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.3) is in line with its historical norms (22.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $99.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DCI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $99.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DCI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$91.31 -
$101.06
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DCI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($97.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$91.31 -
$101.06
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$99.29
Resistance Level
$103.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.31
Wall Street Target
$97.20
(-5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 22.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.56
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$105.81
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$107.08
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$103.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 9.5%)
$135.82
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.5%)
$129.93
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.5%)
$110.44
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.21
Bull Case
$153.49
(+49%)
Analyst growth 38.1%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$139.53
(+35%)
Market implied 38.1%, PE stable at 31.5
Bear Case
$68.71
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Guillermo Briseno
SELL
13500 shares
2025-09-03
Amy C Becker
SELL
18500 shares
2025-08-28
Trudy A Rautio
SELL
31900 shares
2025-08-28
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Advanced DCI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DCI price and gamma walls.
