DELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc.
$114.44
-4.05 (-3.42%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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1 traders called DELL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DELL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DELL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$220.15
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.69
16.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DELL is currently trading at $114.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.73 to $126.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $110.22, while resistance sits at $122.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.91 (+36.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $110.22, while resistance sits at $122.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.91 (+36.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$115.73 -
$126.14
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.6% below Wall St target ($161.91)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$115.73 -
$126.14
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$110.22
Resistance Level
$122.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.31
Wall Street Target
$161.91
(+36.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.0%
Profit Margin
5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 12.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.21
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$106.26
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$100.63
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$118.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.4%)
$393.90
(+232%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 15.4%)
$182.14
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$154.82
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.49
Bull Case
$197.99
(+73%)
Analyst growth 53.4%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$179.99
(+57%)
Market implied 53.4%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$79.78
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 12.1
Stabilization Target:
$139.04
(+17.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DELL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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499999 shares
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DELL price and gamma walls.
