DELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc.
$168.62
4.49 (2.74%)
▲
5d:
-8.36%
30d:
+16.15%
90d:
+31.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
DELL is up 4.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $120 2026-05-15 with 3,267 OI. Put ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DELL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: DELL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$218.71
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$135.80
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DELL is currently trading at $168.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $135.48 to $168.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $146.57, while resistance sits at $186.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $146.57, while resistance sits at $186.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$135.48 -
$168.37
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DELL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($170.57)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.9% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.4%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$135.48 -
$168.37
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$146.57
Resistance Level
$186.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.38
Wall Street Target
$170.57
(+3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.3%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 12.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$173.81
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$184.07
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$194.93
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$164.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.4%)
$391.85
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 15.4%)
$252.06
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 15.4%)
$212.14
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.69
Bull Case
$227.85
(+38%)
Analyst growth 31.4%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$207.14
(+26%)
Market implied 31.4%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$107.22
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 12:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DELL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jennifer D Saavedra
SELL
10200 shares
2026-03-09
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
4417 shares
2026-03-06
Ellen Jamison Kullman
SELL
150346 shares
2026-03-06
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Advanced DELL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DELL price and gamma walls.
