DVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DVA - DaVita Inc.
$109.78
0.44 (0.40%)
▲
5d:
+2.11%
30d:
-3.37%
90d:
-7.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026
0d
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1 traders called DVA this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DVA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DVA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.67
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.88
9.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DVA is currently trading at $109.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.73 to $113.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $111.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DVA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.00 (+30.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $111.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DVA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.00 (+30.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$105.73 -
$113.03
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.8% below Wall St target ($143.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$105.73 -
$113.03
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.48
Resistance Level
$111.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.58
Wall Street Target
$143.00
(+30.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.4%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.92
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$106.52
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$105.13
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$108.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 19.1%)
$480.24
(+339%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 19.1%)
$184.87
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 19.1%)
$157.14
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.69
Bull Case
$153.09
(+40%)
Analyst growth 31.4%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$139.17
(+27%)
Market implied 31.4%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$72.00
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$113.36
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 2:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-09-25
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-05
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