ECVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECVT - Ecovyst Inc.
$12.86
0.02 (0.16%)
▲
5d:
+7.35%
30d:
+14.11%
90d:
+29.12%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ECVT is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $7.5 2026-04-17 with 4 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ECVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ECVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.39
16.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECVT is currently trading at $12.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.16 to $12.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.40, while resistance sits at $13.27.
Market Sentiment: ECVT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.20 (+10.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.40, while resistance sits at $13.27.
Market Sentiment: ECVT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.20 (+10.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$11.16 -
$12.32
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.20)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 34.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.16 -
$12.32
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.40
Resistance Level
$13.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.77
Wall Street Target
$14.20
(+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.6%
Profit Margin
-9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.90
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$12.94
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$12.98
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 27.4%)
$35.45
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 27.4%)
$26.60
(+107%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 27.4%)
$22.61
(+76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.75 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.58
Bull Case
$14.47
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$11.98
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$9.16
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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