EPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPC - Edgewell Personal Care Company
$21.43
0.41 (1.95%)
▲
5d:
+9.84%
30d:
-5.76%
90d:
+22.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EPC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EPC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.73
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.84
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPC is currently trading at $21.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.76 to $22.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EPC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.33 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EPC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.33 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$19.76 -
$22.11
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.9% growth with 1.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.76 -
$22.11
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.24
(10.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.10
Resistance Level
$21.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.63
Wall Street Target
$24.33
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-36.7%
Profit Margin
-1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 8.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.69
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$24.03
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$25.45
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.7%)
$76.94
(+259%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 15.7%)
$33.15
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 15.7%)
$27.89
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 10.20 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.91
Bull Case
$23.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$19.51
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$14.93
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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