PG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PG - Procter & Gamble Company

SOAP, DETERGENTS, CLEANG PREPARATIONS, PERFUMES, COSMETICS
$141.94
0.37 (0.26%) ▲
5d: -0.99%
30d: -3.4%
90d: -11.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your PG Gains
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$172.63
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$107.19
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PG is currently trading at $141.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $142.87 to $147.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $141.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: PG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.77 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $142.87 - $147.14
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($163.77)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $142.87 - $147.14
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $141.20
Resistance Level $148.95
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.97
Wall Street Target $163.77 (+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.8%
Profit Margin 19.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.0 vs 20.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $140.15 (-1%)
2-Year Target $138.75 (-2%)
3-Year Target $137.37 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→21) $141.72 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 2.8%) $169.77 (+20%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 2.8%) $153.59 (+9%)
Bear: (PE: 17.0, Growth: 2.8%) $130.55 (-8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.84
Bull Case $162.72 (+15%)
Analyst growth 3.7%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case $147.93 (+5%)
Market implied 3.7%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case $97.04 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 20.6
Stabilization Target: $146.06 (+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.2%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:48 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-20

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