ESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESI - Element Solutions Inc.
$29.10
-0.71 (-2.38%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ESI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ESI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.25
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.47
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESI is currently trading at $29.10, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.12 to $29.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ESI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.10 (+13.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ESI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.10 (+13.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$26.12 -
$29.32
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.10)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with 1.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.12 -
$29.32
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.41
Resistance Level
$30.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.83
Wall Street Target
$33.10
(+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.80
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$30.51
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$31.25
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.7%)
$61.27
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 16.7%)
$46.23
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 16.7%)
$39.30
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.99
Bull Case
$57.44
(+97%)
Analyst growth 74.7%, PE expands to 33.2
Base Case
$52.22
(+79%)
Market implied 74.7%, PE stable at 30.2
Bear Case
$20.33
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Carey J Dorman
SELL
40725 shares
2025-09-18
John Edward Capps
SELL
77674 shares
2025-09-18
Matthew Liebowitz
SELL
50000 shares
2025-09-17
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