ESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESI - Element Solutions Inc.
$32.36
-1.00 (-3.00%)
▼
5d:
-2.27%
30d:
-7.78%
90d:
+25.72%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ESI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ESI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.06
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.08
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESI is currently trading at $32.36, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.58 to $35.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.52, while resistance sits at $35.48.
Market Sentiment: ESI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.52, while resistance sits at $35.48.
Market Sentiment: ESI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$31.58 -
$35.21
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.5% below Wall St target ($39.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$31.58 -
$35.21
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.52
Resistance Level
$35.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.21
Wall Street Target
$39.00
(+20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.8%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.30
(0%)
2-Year Target
$32.23
(0%)
3-Year Target
$32.17
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$32.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.1%)
$66.36
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 14.1%)
$48.11
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 14.1%)
$40.90
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.79
Bull Case
$68.29
(+106%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.2
Base Case
$62.08
(+88%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.3
Bear Case
$21.11
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$32.55
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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