EWCZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EWCZ - European Wax Center, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$3.93
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: EWCZ shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 5th percentile) and market pricing in only 0.8% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: EWCZ shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 5th percentile) and market pricing in only 0.8% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.38
Based on 2.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.72
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EWCZ is currently trading at $3.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.65 to $4.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EWCZ is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $3.70, while resistance sits at $4.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.64 (+69.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EWCZ is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $3.70, while resistance sits at $4.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.64 (+69.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$3.65 -
$4.06
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
5th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 5th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 69.0% below Wall St target ($6.64)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.65 -
$4.06
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.38
(9.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.70
Resistance Level
$4.34
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.09
Wall Street Target
$6.64
(+69.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
195.6%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.96
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$3.99
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$4.03
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 1.5%)
$12.92
(+229%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 1.5%)
$4.11
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 1.5%)
$3.49
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.26
Bull Case
$8.47
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case
$7.70
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$2.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EWCZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced EWCZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EWCZ price and gamma walls.
