GES Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GES - Guess, Inc.
$16.81
-0.05 (-0.30%)
▼
5d:
-0.06%
30d:
+0.29%
90d:
-0.12%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jan 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GES shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GES shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.60
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.55
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GES is currently trading at $16.81, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GES is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GES has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GES is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GES has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with 7.2% revenue growth
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.76
Resistance Level
$16.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jan 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.93
Wall Street Target
$16.75
(-0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.5%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.45
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$18.11
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$18.80
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.85
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.6%)
$43.16
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 4.6%)
$19.21
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 4.6%)
$16.33
(-3%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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