GRFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GRFS - Grifois, S.A.

Pharmaceutical Preparations
$9.25
-0.04 (-0.43%) ▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026 24d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GRFS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.03
16.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GRFS is currently trading at $9.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.94 to $9.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GRFS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: GRFS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.53 (+34.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $8.94 - $9.33
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.8% below Wall St target ($12.53)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $8.94 - $9.33
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.63
Resistance Level $9.41
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.13
Wall Street Target $12.53 (+34.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 750.0%
Profit Margin 5.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.5% premium
PE vs Historical 7.1 vs 7.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.34 (+1%)
2-Year Target $9.38 (+1%)
3-Year Target $9.43 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→7) PE COMPRESSION $9.26 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 49.4%) $96.93 (+943%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 49.4%) $31.00 (+234%)
Bear: (PE: 6.1, Growth: 49.4%) $26.35 (+184%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case $19.14 (+107%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case $17.40 (+88%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case $5.92 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced GRFS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRFS price and gamma walls.

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