GSBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBD - Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
$9.42
0.02 (0.21%)
▲
5d:
+0.11%
30d:
-2.18%
90d:
-6.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
23d
Get Alerted When GSBD Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GSBD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GSBD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.11
Based on -5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.42
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBD is currently trading at $9.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.19 to $9.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$9.19 -
$9.53
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.31)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.19 -
$9.53
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.19
Resistance Level
$9.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.21
Wall Street Target
$10.31
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.9%
Profit Margin
34.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 7.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.37
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$9.33
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$9.28
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$9.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -14.9%)
$21.23
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: -14.9%)
$6.87
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: -14.9%)
$5.84
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.15
Bull Case
$11.67
(+24%)
Analyst growth 13.6%, PE expands to 8.9
Base Case
$10.61
(+13%)
Market implied 13.6%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case
$6.35
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 7.3
Stabilization Target:
$9.53
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 8:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GSBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Vivek Bantwal
BUY
22000 shares
2025-09-12
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co LP |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$159 | 57 HOLD |
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1334 | 59 HOLD |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$165 | 56 HOLD |
|
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$38 | 66 BUY |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$174 | 52 HOLD |