GSBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBD - Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
$9.04
0.05 (0.56%)
▲
5d:
-2.16%
30d:
-0.22%
90d:
-6.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GSBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GSBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.84
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.49
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBD is currently trading at $9.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.07 to $9.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GSBD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GSBD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$9.07 -
$9.26
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.12)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with -17.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.07 -
$9.26
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.92
Resistance Level
$9.43
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.61
Wall Street Target
$9.13
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.7%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.14
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$9.24
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$9.34
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.08
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -3.7%)
$23.69
(+162%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: -3.7%)
$8.07
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: -3.7%)
$6.86
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.03
Bull Case
$11.47
(+24%)
Analyst growth 15.3%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$10.43
(+13%)
Market implied 15.3%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$6.15
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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