APO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APO - Apollo Global Management, Inc.
$118.61
0.17 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
-2.39%
30d:
-7.88%
90d:
+7.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$233.48
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$144.98
18.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APO is currently trading at $118.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $121.64 to $134.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $114.03, while resistance sits at $141.73.
Market Sentiment: APO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $151.18 (+27.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $114.03, while resistance sits at $141.73.
Market Sentiment: APO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $151.18 (+27.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$121.64 -
$134.86
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
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Holding APO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($151.18)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$121.64 -
$134.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$114.03
Resistance Level
$141.73
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.16
Wall Street Target
$151.18
(+27.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.3%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 12.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$113.98
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$109.54
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$105.27
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$118.85
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.8%)
$397.71
(+235%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 19.8%)
$203.79
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 19.8%)
$173.22
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.30 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.92
Bull Case
$143.22
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$118.61
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$90.74
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$133.91
(+12.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-13
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Advanced APO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APO price and gamma walls.
