GTLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GTLS - Chart Industries, Inc.

FABRICATED PLATE WORK (BOILER SHOPS)
$206.83
-0.11 (-0.05%) ▼
5d: -0.09%
30d: -0.21%
90d: +0.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$324.23
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$201.32
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GTLS is currently trading at $206.83, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $206.86 to $207.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GTLS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $206.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $206.86 - $207.29
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($205.67)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $206.86 - $207.29
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $206.39
Resistance Level $207.40
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.52
Wall Street Target $205.67 (-0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -35.2%
Profit Margin 1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.5 vs 15.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $202.80 (-2%)
2-Year Target $198.75 (-4%)
3-Year Target $194.77 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→15) $206.63 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.3%) $451.19 (+118%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 12.3%) $293.04 (+42%)
Bear: (PE: 12.3, Growth: 12.3%) $249.09 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.29 | Forward EPS (Implied): $14.50
Bull Case $250.05 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case $207.08 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case $158.42 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 15.4
Stabilization Target: $219.54 (+6.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.1%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 10:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:35 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2025-10-24

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