H Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
H - Hyatt Hotels Corporation
$143.47
-0.41 (-0.28%)
▼
5d:
-1.71%
30d:
-11.44%
90d:
-10.51%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: H trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: H trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$223.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$139.01
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: H is currently trading at $143.47, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $141.89 to $160.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 31.3) compared to its historical average (40.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $137.53, while resistance sits at $150.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $182.79 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $137.53, while resistance sits at $150.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $182.79 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$141.89 -
$160.08
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.0% below Wall St target ($182.79)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$141.89 -
$160.08
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.30
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$137.53
Resistance Level
$150.62
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.29
Wall Street Target
$182.79
(+27.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.1%
Profit Margin
-1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.3 vs 40.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$131.65
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$120.46
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$110.22
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→41)
$143.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.3, Growth: 36.0%)
$362.18
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 36.0%)
$258.72
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 36.0%)
$219.92
(+53%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.3 to 40.8
Stabilization Target:
$187.63
(+30.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is H showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Javier Aguila
SELL
9548 shares
2025-12-23
David Udell
SELL
4300 shares
2025-11-26
David Udell
SELL
3010 shares
2025-11-10
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