HTHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HTHT - H World Group Limited American Depositary Shares
$42.14
-0.30 (-0.71%)
▼
5d:
+1.81%
30d:
-4.94%
90d:
-18.33%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
Get Alerted When HTHT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HTHT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HTHT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.64
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.66
24.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTHT is currently trading at $42.14, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.44 to $44.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.9) compared to its historical average (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.65 (+41.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.65 (+41.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$42.44 -
$44.78
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.5% below Wall St target ($59.65)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.44 -
$44.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.40
Resistance Level
$45.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.95
Wall Street Target
$59.65
(+41.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.1%
Profit Margin
19.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.0 vs 2.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.43
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$35.05
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$31.97
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$42.66
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.7%)
$730.54
(+1634%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.9, Growth: 15.7%)
$65.35
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.7, Growth: 15.7%)
$55.54
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.33
Bull Case
$93.37
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$84.88
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$28.86
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.9 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$56.24
(+33.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HTHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Theng Fong Hee
SELL
31640 shares
2026-03-20
Top Rated Lodging Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Lodging by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ATAT
Atour Lifestyle Holdings… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$50 | 62 BUY |
|
WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$100 | 64 BUY |
|
MAR
Marriott International I… |
HOLD
27 analysts |
$381 | 58 HOLD |
|
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holding… |
HOLD
26 analysts |
$347 | 52 HOLD |
|
H
Hyatt Hotels Corporation |
HOLD
22 analysts |
$194 | 50 HOLD |
