HTHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HTHT - H World Group Limited American Depositary Shares
$46.05
0.63 (1.39%)
▲
5d:
-2.19%
30d:
-16.01%
90d:
-12.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 15, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HTHT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HTHT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.89
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.02
25.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTHT is currently trading at $46.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.12 to $53.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.2) compared to its historical average (2.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2216.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $44.42, while resistance sits at $49.84.
Market Sentiment: HTHT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.37 (+31.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $44.42, while resistance sits at $49.84.
Market Sentiment: HTHT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.37 (+31.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$48.12 -
$53.82
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.1% below Wall St target ($60.37)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.12 -
$53.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.42
Resistance Level
$49.84
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.17
Wall Street Target
$60.37
(+31.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2216.9%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.2 vs 2.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.50
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$39.23
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$36.21
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$46.74
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 18.1%)
$772.12
(+1577%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.2, Growth: 18.1%)
$75.89
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.8, Growth: 18.1%)
$64.50
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.36
Bull Case
$101.70
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$92.45
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$31.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.2 to 2.8
Stabilization Target:
$59.44
(+29.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 7:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HTHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Theng Fong Hee
SELL
31640 shares
2026-03-20
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