HIMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HIMX - Himax Technologies, Inc.
$8.13
-0.24 (-2.87%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HIMX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HIMX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.15
19.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HIMX is currently trading at $8.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.23 to $8.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIMX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIMX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$8.23 -
$8.51
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.54)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.23 -
$8.51
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.07
Resistance Level
$9.04
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.25
Wall Street Target
$8.54
(+2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.8%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 17.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.36
(0%)
2-Year Target
$8.35
(0%)
3-Year Target
$8.34
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$8.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 102.2%)
$36.52
(+336%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 102.2%)
$28.25
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 102.2%)
$24.01
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case
$12.50
(+49%)
Analyst growth 34.8%, PE expands to 25.8
Base Case
$11.36
(+36%)
Market implied 34.8%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$5.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$8.40
(+0.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.3%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HIMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HIMX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HIMX price and gamma walls.
