HLF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLF - Herbalife Ltd.
$14.41
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-2.17%
30d:
-26.18%
90d:
+8.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
HLF is down 5.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $17.5 2026-05-15 with 164 OI. Call ratio: 86% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HLF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HLF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.81
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.89
19.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLF is currently trading at $14.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.89 to $18.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.7) compared to its historical average (5.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HLF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+14.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HLF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+14.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$14.89 -
$18.66
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLF? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.89 -
$18.66
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.29
Resistance Level
$15.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.72
Wall Street Target
$16.50
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.3%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 5.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.75
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$13.11
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$12.51
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$14.32
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 19.9%)
$117.62
(+716%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.7, Growth: 19.9%)
$24.84
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 19.9%)
$21.11
(+47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.20
Bull Case
$22.46
(+53%)
Analyst growth 38.8%, PE expands to 7.4
Base Case
$20.41
(+39%)
Market implied 38.8%, PE stable at 6.7
Bear Case
$10.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.7 to 5.4
Stabilization Target:
$16.49
(+14.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
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Advanced HLF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLF price and gamma walls.
