Is HP stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, HP is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: HP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of HP stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for HP to be between $29.83 and $33.54. The current price is $35.49.

What is the analyst price target for HP?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for HP is $31.73. This implies a potential upside of -10.6% from current levels.

HP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HP - Helmerich & Payne, Inc.

DRILLING OIL & GAS WELLS

$35.49

1.24 (3.62%) ▲

5d: +6.51%

30d: +18.54%

90d: +35.15%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your HP Gains

Last Updated: February 3, 2026

Earnings: Feb 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$42.31

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$26.27

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HP is currently trading at $35.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.83 to $33.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 40.8) compared to its historical average (36.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: HP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $31.73. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $29.83 - $33.54

Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 55.7%

Protect Your Profits

HP is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above fair value)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
BEARISH: Trading 10.6% above Wall St target ($31.73)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 45.8% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $29.83 - $33.54

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.82

Resistance Level $35.64

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 40.84

Wall Street Target $31.73 (-10.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 45.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -98.8%

Profit Margin -4.4%

Valuation Premium vs History +4.0% premium

PE vs Historical 40.8 vs 36.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +4.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $36.91 (+4%)

2-Year Target $38.39 (+8%)

3-Year Target $39.92 (+13%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 41→36) PE COMPRESSION $35.48 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 40.8, Growth: 87.1%) $119.78 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 87.1%) $65.40 (+84%)

Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 87.1%) $55.59 (+57%)

Last updated: February 04, 2026 12:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:34 AM

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Technical Signals Check

Is HP showing a specific setup today?

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Advanced HP Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HP price and gamma walls.

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