HPQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPQ - HP Inc.
$19.44
0.05 (0.26%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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1 traders called HPQ this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HPQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HPQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.24
Based on 3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.29
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPQ is currently trading at $19.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.72 to $22.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.0) compared to its historical average (6.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HPQ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.01 (+29.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HPQ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.01 (+29.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$19.72 -
$22.48
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.0% below Wall St target ($25.01)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.72 -
$22.48
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.94
Resistance Level
$20.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.04
Wall Street Target
$25.01
(+29.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.4%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 6.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.63
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$17.91
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$17.21
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$19.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.5%)
$79.28
(+309%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 3.5%)
$21.47
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 3.5%)
$18.25
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.65
Bull Case
$25.39
(+31%)
Analyst growth 21.1%, PE expands to 7.9
Base Case
$23.08
(+19%)
Market implied 21.1%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$12.95
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 6.8
Stabilization Target:
$21.83
(+12.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Enrique Lores
SELL
34282 shares
2025-09-29
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Advanced HPQ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HPQ price and gamma walls.
