HSBC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSBC - HSBC Holdings PLC
$88.01
-0.53 (-0.60%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSBC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSBC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.12
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.62
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSBC is currently trading at $88.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.26 to $85.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSBC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HSBC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSBC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HSBC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$79.26 -
$85.14
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
HSBC is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($85.44)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with 4.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$79.26 -
$85.14
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.94
Resistance Level
$89.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.61
Wall Street Target
$85.44
(-3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.6%
Profit Margin
30.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.40
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$92.30
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$94.24
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.2%)
$235.96
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 8.2%)
$112.29
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 8.2%)
$95.44
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.75
Bull Case
$168.10
(+91%)
Analyst growth 75.6%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$152.81
(+74%)
Market implied 75.6%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$59.16
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSBC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HSBC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HSBC price and gamma walls.
