JPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JPM - JPMorgan Chase & Co.
$302.10
-4.17 (-1.36%)
▼
5d:
-3.32%
30d:
-2.65%
90d:
-6.3%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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4 traders called JPM this week
75% bullish • 1 bearish
75% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JPM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JPM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$399.72
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$248.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JPM is currently trading at $302.10, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $299.23 to $314.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $301.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $342.32 (+13.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $301.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $342.32 (+13.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$299.23 -
$314.65
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($342.32)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$299.23 -
$314.65
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$301.52
Resistance Level
$316.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.84
Wall Street Target
$342.32
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.2%
Profit Margin
33.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$296.96
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$291.92
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$286.95
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$301.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 5.4%)
$604.61
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 5.4%)
$353.73
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 5.4%)
$300.67
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $20.88
Bull Case
$379.74
(+26%)
Analyst growth 12.7%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$345.21
(+14%)
Market implied 12.7%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$208.26
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$317.72
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 09, 2026 8:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JPM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeremy Barnum
SELL
5611 shares
2026-04-15
Jennifer Piepszak
SELL
9136 shares
2026-04-15
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
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