HSIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSIC - Henry Schein Inc
$72.69
-0.03 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
+5.36%
30d:
-7.79%
90d:
-5.85%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HSIC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HSIC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.72
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSIC is currently trading at $72.69, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.80 to $77.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSIC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $68.70, while resistance sits at $76.03.
Market Sentiment: HSIC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.21 (+20.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSIC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $68.70, while resistance sits at $76.03.
Market Sentiment: HSIC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.21 (+20.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$71.80 -
$77.71
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HSIC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($87.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.80 -
$77.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.70
Resistance Level
$76.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.30
Wall Street Target
$87.21
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.15
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$67.69
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$65.32
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$72.73
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 10.5%)
$176.35
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 10.5%)
$98.18
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 10.5%)
$83.45
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.31
Bull Case
$142.78
(+96%)
Analyst growth 78.5%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case
$129.80
(+79%)
Market implied 78.5%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$49.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$80.94
(+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 19, 2026 1:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Thomas C Popeck
SELL
1355 shares
2026-03-19
Kurt P Kuehn
SELL
2844 shares
2026-03-10
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