IMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IMO - Imperial Oil Limited
$101.25
-4.46 (-4.22%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IMO trades at premium valuation expecting 7.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: IMO trades at premium valuation expecting 7.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.31
Based on -5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.31
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IMO is currently trading at $101.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.83 to $100.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $95.60, while resistance sits at $106.64. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: IMO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.87. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $95.60, while resistance sits at $106.64. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: IMO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.87. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$86.83 -
$100.40
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IMO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading 35.8% above Wall St target ($67.87)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.4% growth with -9.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$86.83 -
$100.40
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$95.60
Resistance Level
$106.64
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.69
Wall Street Target
$67.87
(-35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.1%
Profit Margin
8.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 12.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$113.53
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$121.93
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$130.96
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$105.99
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -15.2%)
$109.52
(+4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: -15.2%)
$77.06
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: -15.2%)
$62.37
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.71
Bull Case
$133.92
(+27%)
Analyst growth 18.0%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$121.75
(+15%)
Market implied 18.0%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$70.17
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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