SU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SU - Suncor Energy, Inc.
$67.34
-0.39 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
-1.39%
30d:
+4.31%
90d:
+19.67%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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2 traders called SU this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.74
Based on -10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SU is currently trading at $67.34, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.30 to $68.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.17, while resistance sits at $70.20.
Market Sentiment: SU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $60.06. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.17, while resistance sits at $70.20.
Market Sentiment: SU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $60.06. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$63.30 -
$68.08
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.8% above Wall St target ($60.06)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.30 -
$68.08
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.17
Resistance Level
$70.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.12
Wall Street Target
$60.06
(-10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 11.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.15
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$57.37
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$52.95
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$67.38
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -25.6%)
$118.43
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: -25.6%)
$49.09
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: -25.6%)
$41.73
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.83
Bull Case
$143.71
(+113%)
Analyst growth 92.9%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$130.64
(+94%)
Market implied 92.9%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$46.06
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$85.70
(+27.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 26, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SU price and gamma walls.
