Is CVX stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CVX is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: CVX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CVX stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CVX to be between $183.81 and $192.97. The current price is $186.64.

What is the analyst price target for CVX?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CVX is $214.70. This implies a potential upside of 15.0% from current levels.

CVX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CVX - Chevron Corporation

PETROLEUM REFINING

$186.64

0.64 (0.34%) ▲

5d: +2.27%

30d: +0.94%

90d: +2.32%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your CVX Gains

Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 31, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

CVX is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $200 2026-06-18 with 11,244 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →

Strength: 2.9/10

Get Alerted When CVX Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -12.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$187.02

Based on -4.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$116.12

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CVX is currently trading at $186.64, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $183.81 to $192.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (19.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $179.53, while resistance sits at $194.09.

Market Sentiment: CVX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $214.70 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $183.81 - $192.97

Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 47.6%

Protect Your Profits

Holding CVX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($214.70)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $183.81 - $192.97

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $179.53

Resistance Level $194.09

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.59

Wall Street Target $214.70 (+15.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -44.5%

Profit Margin 5.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -7.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 15.6 vs 19.7 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -7.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $172.83 (-7%)

2-Year Target $160.04 (-14%)

3-Year Target $148.20 (-21%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→20) $187.26 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: -12.7%) $192.34 (+3%)

Base: (SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: -12.7%) $136.06 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 13.3, Growth: -12.7%) $115.65 (-38%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 32.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.75

Bull Case $409.20 (+119%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.6

Base Case $372.00 (+99%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.4

Bear Case $126.48 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 19.7

Stabilization Target: $235.83 (+26.4%)

PE Expansion Potential: +26.4%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is CVX showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

R. Hewitt Pate SELL 40200 shares 2026-03-30

David Taylor SELL 2026-03-12

David Taylor SELL 2026-03-11

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for CVX.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Featured in Portfolios

CVX is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.

Oil & Gas Improvers Score Based • +33.1% Return

Energy Improvers Score Based • +44.1% Return

Warren Buffett Clone Style • +10.4% Return

View All Strategies

Top Rated Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Integrated by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
XOM Exxon Mobil Corp	BUY 28 analysts	$166	67 BUY
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc	STRONG BUY 19 analysts	$29	63 BUY
SHEL Shell PLC ADR	STRONG BUY 17 analysts	$99	56 HOLD
SU Suncor Energy Inc	BUY 21 analysts	$61	61 BUY
PBR Petroleo Brasileiro Petr…	STRONG BUY 14 analysts	$21	50 HOLD

XOM Exxon Mobil Corp

67 BUY

CVE Cenovus Energy Inc

PBR Petroleo Brasilei…

50 HOLD

Advanced CVX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVX price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for CVX

CVX Technical Chart CVX Price Prediction CVX Earnings Date CVX Investment Advisor CVX Fair Price Analyzer CVX Options Advisor CVX Options Chain CVX Options Analysis CVX Competitors

Compare CVX with Peers

CVX vs XOM
Which one to buy?

CVX vs COP
Which one to buy?

CVX vs JNJ
Which one to buy?

CVX vs PG
Which one to buy?

CVX vs OXY
Which one to buy?

CVX vs DASH
Winner: DASH

CVX vs COP

ASTS vs CVX

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie