ING Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ING - ING Groep N.V. American Depositary Shares

Commercial Banks, NEC
$29.39
-0.47 (-1.57%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ING is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.88
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.38
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ING is currently trading at $29.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.12 to $29.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ING is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ING has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $28.12 - $29.26
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.95)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $28.12 - $29.26
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $28.00
Resistance Level $30.10
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.13
Wall Street Target $28.95 (-3.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 2.8%
Profit Margin 25.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.5% premium
PE vs Historical 11.1 vs 10.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.01 (+1%)
2-Year Target $30.16 (+1%)
3-Year Target $30.31 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) PE COMPRESSION $29.68 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.9%) $79.50 (+166%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 9.9%) $39.68 (+33%)
Bear: (PE: 9.5, Growth: 9.9%) $33.73 (+13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.40
Bull Case $36.50 (+24%)
Analyst growth 11.8%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case $33.18 (+13%)
Market implied 11.8%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case $20.18 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced ING Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ING price and gamma walls.

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