KDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KDP - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
$27.44
0.62 (2.31%)
▲
5d:
-1.17%
30d:
-2.52%
90d:
+1.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
21d
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1 traders called KDP this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KDP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KDP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.99
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.34
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KDP is currently trading at $27.44, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.32 to $28.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KDP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.43 (+25.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KDP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.43 (+25.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$27.32 -
$28.06
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.5% below Wall St target ($34.43)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.32 -
$28.06
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.40
Resistance Level
$28.12
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.64
Wall Street Target
$34.43
(+25.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.28
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$27.11
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$26.95
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$27.50
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.3%)
$58.18
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 6.3%)
$32.98
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 6.3%)
$28.03
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.16
Bull Case
$54.98
(+100%)
Analyst growth 87.1%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$49.98
(+82%)
Market implied 87.1%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$18.16
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$28.00
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-29
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-09-11
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