KOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KOF - Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B DE C.V
$107.38
1.58 (1.49%)
▲
5d:
+1.31%
30d:
-1.27%
90d:
+8.52%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KOF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KOF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$207.18
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$128.65
16.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KOF is currently trading at $107.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.54 to $108.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $103.00, while resistance sits at $110.94.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $103.00, while resistance sits at $110.94.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$105.54 -
$108.40
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($116.78)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$105.54 -
$108.40
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.00
Resistance Level
$110.94
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.69
Wall Street Target
$116.78
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.5%
Profit Margin
7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.34
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$103.34
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$101.37
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$107.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.0%)
$334.43
(+211%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 22.0%)
$194.92
(+82%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 22.0%)
$165.68
(+54%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$113.35
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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