KOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KOF - Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B DE C.V
$104.89
-1.05 (-0.99%)
▼
5d:
-1.17%
30d:
+1.63%
90d:
-8.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KOF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KOF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$225.13
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$139.79
25.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KOF is currently trading at $104.89, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.72 to $105.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $101.00, while resistance sits at $108.34.
Market Sentiment: KOF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $101.00, while resistance sits at $108.34.
Market Sentiment: KOF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$100.72 -
$105.47
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($115.24)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.72 -
$105.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$101.01
Resistance Level
$108.34
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.21
Wall Street Target
$115.24
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.5%
Profit Margin
7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 13.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.80
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$96.87
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$93.09
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$105.22
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 23.8%)
$359.05
(+242%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 23.8%)
$198.90
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 23.8%)
$169.07
(+61%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$118.56
(+13.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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