CELH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CELH - Celsius Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

BOTTLED & CANNED SOFT DRINKS & CARBONATED WATERS
$29.01
1.15 (4.13%) β–²
5d: -15.32%
30d: -17.77%
90d: -34.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

CELH is down 15.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-06-18 with 36,757 OI. Call ratio: 74% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CELH is down 15.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.19
52.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CELH is currently trading at $29.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.42 to $35.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (24.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 125.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CELH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $27.66, while resistance sits at $35.75. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: CELH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.43 (+115.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $31.42 - $35.40
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 115.2% below Wall St target ($62.43)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $31.42 - $35.40
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.66
Resistance Level $35.75
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.22
Wall Street Target $62.43 (+115.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 137.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 125.8%
Profit Margin 5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -17.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.2 vs 24.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -17.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $26.11 (-10%)
2-Year Target $23.50 (-19%)
3-Year Target $21.15 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14β†’25) $36.89 (+27%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 25.4%) $88.62 (+206%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 25.4%) $57.16 (+97%)
Bear: (PE: 12.1, Growth: 25.4%) $48.59 (+68%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.39
Bull Case $35.03 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case $29.01 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case $22.19 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 24.8
Stabilization Target: $50.61 (+74.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +74.4%
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CELH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CELH price and gamma walls.

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