LFST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LFST - LifeStance Health Group, Inc. Common Stock
$7.18
0.11 (1.56%)
β²
5d:
-1.78%
30d:
+1.99%
90d:
+46.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: LFST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: LFST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.16
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.93
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LFST is currently trading at $7.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.08 to $7.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.8) is in line with its historical norms (28.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LFST is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.89 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LFST is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.89 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$7.08 -
$7.35
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($8.89)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.08 -
$7.35
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.99
Resistance Level
$7.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.77
Wall Street Target
$8.89
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
-0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
28.8 vs 28.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.24
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$7.31
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$7.38
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29β28)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.18
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.8, Growth: 21.0%)
$12.73
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.0%)
$9.87
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 21.0%)
$8.39
(+17%)
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LFST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darren M Black
SELL
8407643 shares
2025-08-18
Silversmith Partners I Gβ¦
SELL
3592357 shares
2025-08-18
Summit Partners L P
SELL
8407643 shares
2025-08-18
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