LOGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LOGI - Logitech International SA

COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC
$87.67
1.83 (2.13%) ▲
5d: -6.89%
30d: -12.52%
90d: -27.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Jan 27, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LOGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.70
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.64
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LOGI is currently trading at $87.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.50 to $100.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (20.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LOGI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $83.32, while resistance sits at $95.46.

Market Sentiment: LOGI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.40 (+28.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $90.50 - $100.55
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.2% below Wall St target ($112.40)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.9%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $90.50 - $100.55
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $83.32
Resistance Level $95.46
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.24
Wall Street Target $112.40 (+28.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 28.0%
Profit Margin 14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.2 vs 20.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $79.69 (-9%)
2-Year Target $72.44 (-17%)
3-Year Target $65.85 (-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→20) $87.71 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 1.8%) $135.49 (+55%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 1.8%) $92.60 (+6%)
Bear: (PE: 13.0, Growth: 1.8%) $78.71 (-10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.63
Bull Case $117.32 (+34%)
Analyst growth 24.2%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case $106.66 (+22%)
Market implied 24.2%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case $58.37 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 20.3
Stabilization Target: $116.78 (+33.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +33.2%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 9:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Prakash Arunkundrum SELL 5000 shares 2025-09-16
Prakash Arunkundrum SELL 9900 shares 2025-09-04

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