LOGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOGI - Logitech International SA
$92.25
1.13 (1.24%)
▲
5d:
-1.77%
30d:
+0.71%
90d:
-9.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.85
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.80
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOGI is currently trading at $92.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.15 to $92.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOGI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $94.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.20 (+19.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOGI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $94.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.20 (+19.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$90.15 -
$92.95
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($109.20)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$90.15 -
$92.95
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.77
(5.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.38
Resistance Level
$94.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.85
Wall Street Target
$109.20
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 18.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.11
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$83.28
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$79.61
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$90.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 1.4%)
$133.78
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 1.4%)
$94.88
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 1.4%)
$80.65
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.77
Bull Case
$116.56
(+28%)
Analyst growth 20.5%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$105.96
(+17%)
Market implied 20.5%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$59.79
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$104.05
(+14.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 12:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Neela Montgomery
SELL
5833 shares
2025-10-31
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