LPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LPG - DORIAN LPG LTD
$29.53
-0.21 (-0.71%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LPG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LPG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.26
Based on -14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.99
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LPG is currently trading at $29.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.98 to $28.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LPG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LPG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.25 (+11.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LPG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LPG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.25 (+11.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$24.98 -
$28.97
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
23th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.25)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 4.8% growth expectation is conservative given 491% recent growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.98 -
$28.97
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.29
(7.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.13
Resistance Level
$30.31
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.40
Wall Street Target
$33.25
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
490.9%
Profit Margin
26.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 9.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.17
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$32.66
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$34.23
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -32.5%)
$46.49
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: -32.5%)
$21.68
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: -32.5%)
$18.43
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.22
Bull Case
$41.00
(+39%)
Analyst growth 28.8%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$37.27
(+26%)
Market implied 28.8%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$19.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alexander C Hadjipateras
SELL
5000 shares
2025-09-16
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Advanced LPG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LPG price and gamma walls.
