LPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LPG - DORIAN LPG LTD
$32.96
-0.39 (-1.17%)
▼
5d:
-1.11%
30d:
-10.89%
90d:
+35.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LPG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LPG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.41
Based on -9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.05
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LPG is currently trading at $32.96, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.99 to $36.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 121.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LPG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.41, while resistance sits at $34.79.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LPG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.41, while resistance sits at $34.79.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$31.99 -
$36.18
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
35th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 35th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.12)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$31.99 -
$36.18
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.30
(7.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.41
Resistance Level
$34.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.70
Wall Street Target
$36.13
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
121.6%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.18
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$33.02
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$32.85
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$33.18
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -23.8%)
$56.13
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: -23.8%)
$24.31
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: -23.8%)
$20.67
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.83
Bull Case
$43.83
(+32%)
Analyst growth 21.5%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$39.84
(+20%)
Market implied 21.5%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$22.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$33.69
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is LPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Theodore B Young
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-18
Tim Truels Hansen
SELL
25000 shares
2026-01-14
John C Hadjipateras
BUY
15000 shares
2026-01-07
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