LRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LRN - Stride, Inc.
$83.02
-2.59 (-3.03%)
▼
5d:
-4.94%
30d:
-1.61%
90d:
+25.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
LRN is down 4.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $115 2026-05-15 with 176 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: LRN shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 16th percentile) and market pricing in only 2.8% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: LRN shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 16th percentile) and market pricing in only 2.8% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.80
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.31
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LRN is currently trading at $83.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.43 to $87.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.50 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.50 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$83.43 -
$87.16
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
16th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 16th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($109.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$83.43 -
$87.16
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.94
(8.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.22
Resistance Level
$89.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.66
Wall Street Target
$109.50
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
108.3%
Profit Margin
12.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.01
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$90.47
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$93.00
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$85.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$253.88
(+197%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 8.5%)
$109.43
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 8.5%)
$93.02
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.51
Bull Case
$127.44
(+46%)
Analyst growth 36.2%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$115.85
(+33%)
Market implied 36.2%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$57.84
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Markwayne Mullin
BUY
2026-02-04
Markwayne Mullin
BUY
2026-01-05
Markwayne Mullin
SELL
2025-12-18
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Advanced LRN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LRN price and gamma walls.
