MAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAN - ManpowerGroup
$36.56
0.23 (0.63%)
▲
5d:
+20.26%
30d:
+22.97%
90d:
+21.3%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MAN is 14.5% above fair value ($31.94). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MAN is 14.5% above fair value ($31.94). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.07
27.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAN is currently trading at $36.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.05 to $31.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MAN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MAN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$29.05 -
$31.94
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+14.5% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.05 -
$31.94
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.63
Resistance Level
$36.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.02
Wall Street Target
$38.67
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.6%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 8.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.84
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$33.41
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$32.04
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$36.52
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 40.4%)
$319.66
(+780%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 40.4%)
$100.61
(+177%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 40.4%)
$85.52
(+135%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$41.41
(+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.0%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 11:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-09-25
Lisa C. McClain
BUY
2025-09-11
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