NSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NSP - Insperity, Inc
$45.37
1.30 (2.95%)
▲
5d:
+18.12%
30d:
+26.56%
90d:
+67.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: NSP is 12.5% above its trading range ($40.32). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: NSP is 12.5% above its trading range ($40.32). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NSP is currently trading at $45.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.65 to $40.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $37.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NSP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $37.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NSP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.65 -
$40.32
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
3th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.5%
Protect Your Profits
NSP is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 12.9% above Wall St target ($39.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.9% growth with 1.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.65 -
$40.32
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.46
(12.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.37
Resistance Level
$37.35
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.23
Wall Street Target
$39.50
(-12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.3%
Profit Margin
-0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.9% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 12.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.86
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$54.80
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$60.22
(+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 36.1%)
$153.54
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 36.1%)
$114.40
(+152%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 36.1%)
$86.00
(+90%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul J Sarvadi
BUY
25000 shares
2026-03-19
Paul J Sarvadi
BUY
160000 shares
2026-03-18
Paul J Sarvadi
BUY
16987 shares
2026-03-17
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Advanced NSP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NSP price and gamma walls.
