NDAQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NDAQ - Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock
$96.89
-1.20 (-1.22%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
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1 traders called NDAQ this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NDAQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NDAQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$160.16
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.45
2.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NDAQ is currently trading at $96.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $97.61 to $99.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.2) compared to its historical average (25.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NDAQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.93 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NDAQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.93 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$97.61 -
$99.84
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($107.93)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$97.61 -
$99.84
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$95.61
Resistance Level
$101.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.23
Wall Street Target
$107.93
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.3%
Profit Margin
21.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.2 vs 25.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.21
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$89.67
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$86.26
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→25)
$96.99
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.1%)
$136.80
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.2, Growth: 12.1%)
$136.40
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.9, Growth: 12.1%)
$115.94
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.80
Bull Case
$149.61
(+54%)
Analyst growth 37.8%, PE expands to 38.8
Base Case
$136.01
(+40%)
Market implied 37.8%, PE stable at 35.3
Bear Case
$67.12
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.2 to 25.0
Stabilization Target:
$108.94
(+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.4%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NDAQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
2025-09-26
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BUY
2025-09-19
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SELL
2025-09-08
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