SPGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPGI - S&P Global Inc.
$417.41
14.26 (3.54%)
▲
5d:
-0.85%
30d:
-5.68%
90d:
+1.7%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SPGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SPGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$739.62
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$459.24
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPGI is currently trading at $417.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $416.12 to $439.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (22.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $401.00, while resistance sits at $433.08. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: SPGI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $534.00 (+32.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $401.00, while resistance sits at $433.08. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: SPGI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $534.00 (+32.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$416.12 -
$439.22
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($534.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$416.12 -
$439.22
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$401.00
Resistance Level
$433.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.16
Wall Street Target
$534.00
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.5%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 22.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$377.75
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$353.95
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$331.65
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→22)
$403.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 13.2%)
$710.41
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 13.2%)
$584.43
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 13.2%)
$496.77
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.79
Bull Case
$625.14
(+55%)
Analyst growth 40.6%, PE expands to 28.2
Base Case
$568.31
(+41%)
Market implied 40.6%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case
$274.81
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 22.1
Stabilization Target:
$490.72
(+21.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-26
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
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