NIU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NIU - Niu Technologies American Depositary Shares
$2.03
-0.04 (-1.93%)
▼
5d:
+2.01%
30d:
-9.38%
90d:
-30.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NIU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NIU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.14
35.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NIU is currently trading at $2.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.05 to $2.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.5) compared to its historical average (1.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIU is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.11 (+53.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIU is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.11 (+53.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.05 -
$2.37
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.1% below Wall St target ($3.11)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.05 -
$2.37
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.08
Resistance Level
$2.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.49
Wall Street Target
$3.11
(+53.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.7%
Profit Margin
-2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.5 vs 1.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.88
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$1.75
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$1.62
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→2)
$2.07
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 117.0%)
$100.31
(+4841%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.5, Growth: 117.0%)
$6.85
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.3, Growth: 117.0%)
$5.82
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.5 to 1.9
Stabilization Target:
$2.59
(+27.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NIU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fion Wenjuan Zhou
SELL
22113 shares
2026-03-16
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