NJR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NJR - New Jersey Resources Corp
$51.81
1.76 (3.52%)
▲
5d:
+5.86%
30d:
+12.68%
90d:
+16.95%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
6d
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1 traders called NJR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NJR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NJR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.65
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.87
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NJR is currently trading at $51.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.09 to $49.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NJR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $51.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: NJR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NJR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $51.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: NJR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$46.09 -
$49.09
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.5% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($53.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with 23.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$46.09 -
$49.09
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.29
Resistance Level
$51.93
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.00
Wall Street Target
$53.67
(+3.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.4%
Profit Margin
16.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.48
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$53.17
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$53.86
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.6%)
$104.12
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$70.05
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$59.54
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.23
Bull Case
$58.87
(+14%)
Analyst growth 6.9%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$53.51
(+3%)
Market implied 6.9%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$34.03
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 10:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NJR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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