NMRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMRK - Newmark Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$15.72
0.25 (1.62%)
▲
5d:
+4.66%
30d:
+9.02%
90d:
+5.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMRK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMRK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.47
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMRK is currently trading at $15.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.34 to $15.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 146.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NMRK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.42 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NMRK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.42 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.34 -
$15.13
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($19.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.34 -
$15.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.62
Resistance Level
$15.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.28
Wall Street Target
$19.42
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
146.9%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.34
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$14.97
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$14.62
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$15.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.6%)
$65.41
(+316%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 11.6%)
$21.88
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 11.6%)
$18.59
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$34.03
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$30.94
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$10.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$16.83
(+7.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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