NSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NSA - National Storage Affiliates Trust
$31.81
-0.02 (-0.06%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NSA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NSA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.22
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.32
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NSA is currently trading at $31.81, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.15 to $32.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 69.9) is in line with its historical norms (70.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSA is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $31.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSA is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $31.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$28.15 -
$32.69
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.46)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.15 -
$32.69
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.32
Resistance Level
$33.92
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
69.91
Wall Street Target
$32.46
(+2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
69.9 vs 70.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.77
(0%)
2-Year Target
$31.70
(0%)
3-Year Target
$31.64
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 70→70)
$31.86
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 69.9, Growth: 15.9%)
$49.53
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.9%)
$15.80
(-50%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.9%)
$13.43
(-58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 51.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.61
Bull Case
$25.88
(-19%)
Analyst growth -25.4%, PE expands to 56.8
Base Case
$23.53
(-26%)
Market implied -25.4%, PE stable at 51.7
Bear Case
$21.43
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 69.9 to 70.4
Stabilization Target:
$32.05
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 8:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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